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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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BoC warns of structural economic damage from tariffs

October 29, 2025 |Claire Fan
The Bank of Canada delivered an expected 25 basis point rate cut today, lowering the overnight rate to 2.25%—the bottom of the neutral range that would not add to or subtract from inflation pressures over time. Beyond the rate cut itself, two themes stood...
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Canadian federal budget preview

October 27, 2025 |Cynthia Leach
A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health We believe the context and composition of government spending matter as much as the quantum. Cyclically, our outlook has Canada avoiding a recession from the current set of tariffs, but...
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The Last Word

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
An ounce of prevention – As 2025 draws to a close, a quick review of your finances can help save you from tax filing regret down the road After the slower and easier days of the summer, the fall months and early days of winter that lead into year-end...
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Executive Summary: Federal Reserve update

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
In this Counsel Views double feature, RBC PH&N Investment Counsel's Chief Investment Strategist Tasneem Azim-Khan covers two important and timely analyses: the first on the upcoming CUSMA 2.0 negotiations, and the second on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Federal...
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Executive Summary: The preservation of CUSMA is economically critical to Canada

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
In this Counsel Views double feature, RBC PH&N Investment Counsel's Chief Investment Strategist Tasneem Azim-Khan covers two important and timely analyses: the first on the upcoming CUSMA 2.0 negotiations, and the second on the U.S. Federal Reserve. High-stakes...
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Reflex defect: Why human nature and portfolio success are often at odds

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
Understanding our natural instincts and mental “blind spots” can help us avoid emotionally driven decisions that can damage our long-term success as investors, while helping us enjoy a smoother road to financial success. Imagine this: You wake up one...
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The President's Message

The President's Message

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
Our base case is for modest economic growth and inflation calm enough to allow for a resumption of interest-rate cuts. U.S. public policy remains the dominant macroeconomic theme, with tariffs and tax cuts both attracting close attention. The global economy...
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Around the world in 80 seconds

Around the world in 80 seconds

October 13, 2025 |Counsellor Quarterly – Fall 2025
Canada U.S. tariffs on key Canadian exports, including energy products, aluminum and steel, have begun to bite into the country’s economic growth, with both the latest GDP and employment numbers seeing material and negative downturns. The uncertainty...
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Canada’s population growth slows even as outflows fall increasingly short of targets

October 02, 2025 |Cynthia Leach and Salim Zanzana
Canada's population growth continues to slow since tighter federal targets on permanent and non-permanent residents with Q2 marking the weakest quarterly growth since the pandemic. As of July 2025, the population reached 41.7 million, reflecting a year-over-year...
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